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Red54
508629.2
171131.7
55048.2
Blue32
804111.5
78238.7
612113.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5719040801005432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.4
24.524.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End14.8
red by 17.7
6121
#19
13.90.4
13.313.7
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9
Second
29.20.4
17.918.3
Auto8.4
Teleop11.4
End9.4
red by 17.6
8041
#18
11.50.4
5.45.7
Auto3.9
Teleop2.9
End4.8
Third
5504
#24
8.20.4
6.16.5
Auto2.5
Teleop1.3
End4.4
blue by 0.4
7823
#17
8.70.4
3.94.3
Auto2.2
Teleop2.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsEarned10%Hangar oddsMissed