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Red20
52476.7
65524.8
531419.9
Blue18
86117.2
609712.1
51833.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262701020304050602018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.3
15.014.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.5
End7.6
red by 7.8
6097
#27
12.10.5
15.414.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End1.4
Second
5247
#28
6.70.3
6.56.2
Auto1.6
Teleop1.3
End3.9
blue by 0.5
8611
#20
7.20.5
4.13.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End0.4
Third
6552
#30
4.80.3
2.82.5
Auto1.9
Teleop1.3
End1.5
red by 0.8
5183
#35
3.90.5
5.95.4
Auto2.0
Teleop1.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed