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Red17
132212.9
69638.4
65337.5
Blue31
600514.8
78555.3
224612.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262615203035401731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1322
#21
12.90.5
10.29.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End6.4
blue by 1.9
6005
#15
14.80.4
8.98.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End4.0
Second
6963
#25
8.40.5
5.75.3
Auto2.4
Teleop0.8
End5.3
blue by 4.0
2246
#10
12.50.4
10.610.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End5.3
Third
6533
#32
7.50.5
8.27.7
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End3.2
red by 2.1
7855
#29
5.30.4
4.94.5
Auto1.3
Teleop1.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
3%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed