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Red52
171131.7
612113.9
552516.8
Blue39
224612.5
77945.8
531419.9
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5936020801005239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.0
28.027.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End14.8
red by 11.8
19.90.1
18.118.3
Auto5.8
Teleop6.5
End7.6
Second
16.80.0
11.511.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.4
End10.3
red by 4.3
2246
#10
12.50.1
12.112.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End5.3
Third
6121
#19
13.90.0
12.912.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9
red by 8.2
7794
#36
5.80.1
6.76.9
Auto0.9
Teleop1.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
55%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsEarned