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Red46
508629.2
498313.6
69638.4
Blue36
65337.5
376721.3
779016.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424125303545505560654636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.2
23.223.3
Auto8.4
Teleop11.4
End9.4
red by 7.9
21.30.2
19.519.2
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End5.4
Second
4983
#16
13.60.2
11.611.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End3.0
blue by 2.6
7790
#12
16.30.2
12.612.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.2
End6.3
Third
6963
#25
8.40.2
5.05.1
Auto2.4
Teleop0.8
End5.3
red by 1.0
6533
#32
7.50.2
7.06.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsMissed