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Red38
842615.3
603319.5
88549.2
Blue41
87677.2
569511.7
522912.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48320204060803841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6033
#10
19.50.3
19.218.9
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End13.7
red by 6.8
5229
#16
12.70.6
11.712.3
Auto4.7
Teleop4.7
End3.3
Second
8426
#23
15.30.3
16.916.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End3.9
red by 3.6
5695
#26
11.70.6
13.013.6
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End1.6
Third
8854
#29
9.20.3
6.96.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End1.6
red by 2.0
8767
#38
7.20.6
7.27.8
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsEarned