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Red44
30226.7
506615.8
77163.8
Blue78
717827.3
553310.0
722519.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465302060801001201404478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#11
26.70.0
25.725.8
Auto6.5
Teleop14.9
End5.3
blue by 0.7
27.31.7
22.824.5
Auto6.6
Teleop10.1
End10.7
Second
5066
#19
15.80.0
12.912.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End4.7
blue by 3.4
19.21.7
18.420.1
Auto5.4
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Third
7716
#40
3.80.0
5.15.1
Auto1.8
Teleop1.2
End0.8
blue by 6.2
5533
#34
10.01.7
7.69.3
Auto4.4
Teleop3.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
37%Cargo oddsMissed50%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsEarned