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Red33
549817.1
15284.7
60297.2
Blue25
88997.0
52395.6
55559.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3227010204050603325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.10.0
17.017.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End11.5
red by 7.7
5555
#22
9.40.3
9.59.1
Auto4.3
Teleop1.2
End3.9
Second
6029
#26
7.20.0
6.06.0
Auto3.4
Teleop2.4
End1.4
red by 0.2
8899
#18
7.00.3
9.89.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.1
End1.8
Third
1528
#23
4.70.0
6.16.1
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End1.0
blue by 0.9
5239
#28
5.60.3
6.96.6
Auto3.0
Teleop0.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed