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Red50
43823.6
440521.3
360426.0
Blue54
51974.0
661823.1
608119.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46451020304050607080905054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.5
20.821.3
Auto7.4
Teleop8.3
End10.2
red by 2.9
23.10.5
17.918.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End10.4
Second
4405
#11
21.30.5
19.019.5
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End3.8
red by 2.2
6081
#13
19.10.5
17.518.0
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End3.5
Third
4382
#34
3.60.5
3.23.7
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End0.5
blue by 0.5
5197
#35
4.00.5
7.17.6
Auto1.9
Teleop1.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsEarned25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsEarned