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Red70
652813.8
55559.4
505036.0
Blue16
50655.4
553111.1
59154.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55120204060801007016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.01.6
29.431.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End13.2
red by 24.9
5531
#32
11.10.1
10.310.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End2.5
Second
6528
#15
13.81.6
7.69.2
Auto2.6
Teleop9.5
End1.7
red by 8.4
5065
#21
5.40.1
3.23.1
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End1.1
Third
5555
#22
9.41.6
9.110.7
Auto4.3
Teleop1.2
End3.9
red by 4.9
5915
#33
4.50.1
3.33.2
Auto3.7
Teleop0.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
37%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned12%Hangar oddsMissed