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Red27
82809.8
653810.9
714713.3
Blue36
661823.1
81246.6
88997.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354402060801002736

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7147
#31
13.30.5
14.914.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.8
End2.0
blue by 9.8
23.10.3
21.421.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End10.4
Second
6538
#17
10.90.5
8.98.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End0.7
red by 3.9
8899
#18
7.00.3
10.210.0
Auto2.2
Teleop3.1
End1.8
Third
8280
#19
9.80.5
10.09.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End2.1
red by 3.3
8124
#36
6.60.3
8.27.9
Auto3.8
Teleop-0.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed