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Red29
55559.4
483812.5
43823.6
Blue22
78654.2
553111.1
25914.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2918010405060702922

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4838
#10
12.50.2
12.512.7
Auto4.7
Teleop4.9
End2.9
red by 1.4
5531
#32
11.10.0
9.49.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End2.5
Second
5555
#22
9.40.2
9.19.3
Auto4.3
Teleop1.2
End3.9
red by 4.6
2591
#37
4.80.0
4.94.8
Auto2.2
Teleop1.9
End0.6
Third
4382
#34
3.60.2
4.14.3
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End0.5
blue by 0.6
7865
#30
4.20.0
4.44.3
Auto0.7
Teleop2.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed