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Red24
15284.7
652813.8
50655.4
Blue14
714713.3
61903.3
43903.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2623101520303540452414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6528
#15
13.80.3
13.913.6
Auto2.6
Teleop9.5
End1.7
red by 0.5
7147
#31
13.30.5
14.513.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.8
End2.0
Second
5065
#21
5.40.3
3.63.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End1.1
red by 2.0
4390
#39
3.40.5
4.03.5
Auto1.9
Teleop2.1
End-0.6
Third
1528
#23
4.70.3
6.36.1
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End1.0
red by 1.4
6190
#41
3.30.5
3.42.9
Auto1.1
Teleop1.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsMissed