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Red52
71887.2
836817.1
360426.0
Blue17
50655.4
60297.2
51974.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55120204060801005217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.4
24.224.6
Auto7.4
Teleop8.3
End10.2
red by 18.8
6029
#26
7.20.2
8.17.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.4
End1.4
Second
17.10.4
14.815.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.0
End4.0
red by 11.6
5065
#21
5.40.2
3.43.2
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End1.1
Third
7188
#25
7.20.4
6.87.2
Auto1.9
Teleop2.8
End2.5
red by 3.1
5197
#35
4.00.2
4.94.7
Auto1.9
Teleop1.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsEarned4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsEarned10%Hangar oddsMissed