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Red24
72325.5
714713.3
71962.6
Blue39
652813.8
25914.8
549817.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2342060802439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7147
#31
13.30.0
13.914.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.8
End2.0
blue by 3.8
17.10.1
18.017.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End11.5
Second
7232
#40
5.50.0
6.26.2
Auto2.7
Teleop0.2
End2.6
blue by 8.3
6528
#15
13.80.1
13.613.5
Auto2.6
Teleop9.5
End1.7
Third
7196
#27
2.60.0
3.53.5
Auto1.5
Teleop2.1
End-1.0
blue by 2.2
2591
#37
4.80.1
5.04.9
Auto2.2
Teleop1.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsMissed