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Red18
71887.2
52635.8
652813.8
Blue29
88997.0
691419.4
43823.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293602060801829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6528
#15
13.80.7
13.512.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.5
End1.7
blue by 5.6
19.40.5
20.119.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End13.8
Second
7188
#25
7.20.7
7.26.5
Auto1.9
Teleop2.8
End2.5
red by 0.1
8899
#18
7.00.5
8.58.0
Auto2.2
Teleop3.1
End1.8
Third
5263
#38
5.80.7
7.06.4
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.8
red by 2.2
4382
#34
3.60.5
4.23.7
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed51%Hangar oddsEarned