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Red54
438121.6
686119.3
496716.3
Blue70
516719.8
556720.2
413021.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556301001505470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.1
18.718.8
Auto9.0
Teleop10.6
End2.0
blue by 0.1
21.70.5
18.819.3
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End4.8
Second
19.30.1
14.514.6
Auto6.0
Teleop6.6
End6.6
blue by 0.9
20.20.5
18.519.1
Auto6.5
Teleop9.4
End4.3
Third
4967
#11
16.30.1
19.519.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End5.4
blue by 3.5
19.80.5
20.521.1
Auto5.1
Teleop11.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed39%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsMissed52%Hangar oddsMissed