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Red50
357222.9
283212.4
413021.7
Blue44
496716.3
85820.2
335733.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5581020401001201401605044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.3
24.724.4
Auto9.2
Teleop5.4
End8.3
blue by 10.9
33.81.9
33.731.8
Auto8.8
Teleop15.1
End9.9
Second
21.70.3
19.319.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End4.8
red by 1.5
858
#10
20.21.9
19.317.4
Auto3.4
Teleop11.4
End5.4
Third
2832
#12
12.40.3
10.710.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.6
End1.2
blue by 3.8
4967
#11
16.31.9
19.617.7
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed47%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsMissed83%Hangar oddsMissed