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Red61
613210.3
302316.2
179214.6
Blue17
251110.1
42399.5
83727.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32300102040506070806117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3023
#13
16.23.0
7.910.9
Auto4.5
Teleop3.7
End7.9
red by 6.2
2511
#42
10.11.2
9.78.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.6
End2.9
Second
1792
#28
14.63.0
13.816.9
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End4.7
red by 5.1
4239
#36
9.51.2
11.710.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End3.1
Third
6132
#50
10.33.0
8.111.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End2.9
red by 3.2
8372
#49
7.01.2
6.75.5
Auto2.9
Teleop1.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed