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Red43
329712.1
249117.4
217712.9
Blue16
181612.8
24997.3
37556.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343802060801004316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#12
17.41.2
11.813.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End6.1
red by 4.5
1816
#14
12.83.0
15.212.3
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End6.1
Second
2177
#25
12.91.2
12.113.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End4.2
red by 5.6
2499
#38
7.33.0
10.67.6
Auto1.5
Teleop3.1
End2.7
Third
3297
#33
12.11.2
8.49.6
Auto2.4
Teleop3.8
End6.0
red by 5.9
3755
#40
6.33.0
9.06.0
Auto1.8
Teleop-1.1
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed