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Red51
459322.7
462311.8
179214.6
Blue61
388319.5
171410.3
422619.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403202060801005161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.6
13.214.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End6.9
red by 3.2
19.53.3
10.413.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End9.9
Second
1792
#28
14.61.6
12.313.8
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End4.7
blue by 4.8
4226
#19
19.43.3
11.615.0
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End4.5
Third
4623
#45
11.81.6
11.413.0
Auto4.1
Teleop3.9
End3.8
red by 1.6
1714
#47
10.33.3
8.912.3
Auto1.8
Teleop3.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsEarned