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Red44
462411.5
250217.0
466313.9
Blue49
310012.5
57208.0
418214.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433302060804449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#20
17.00.5
14.515.0
Auto6.4
Teleop6.5
End4.2
red by 2.3
4182
#22
14.80.9
11.812.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End5.0
Second
4663
#17
13.90.5
11.912.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.0
End9.2
red by 1.4
3100
#24
12.50.9
11.712.6
Auto4.6
Teleop1.4
End6.5
Third
4624
#46
11.50.5
12.913.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End2.5
red by 3.6
5720
#48
8.00.9
9.210.2
Auto3.4
Teleop2.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsEarned