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Red61
310012.5
470310.7
517236.1
Blue53
329712.1
753014.8
93020.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51422060801006153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.10.7
26.727.4
Auto7.8
Teleop21.3
End7.0
red by 16.0
930
#6
20.11.4
18.119.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.1
End6.4
Second
3100
#24
12.50.7
9.29.9
Auto4.6
Teleop1.4
End6.5
blue by 2.3
7530
#16
14.81.4
11.412.8
Auto3.0
Teleop0.9
End10.9
Third
4703
#18
10.70.7
10.811.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End4.0
blue by 1.4
3297
#33
12.11.4
11.312.6
Auto2.4
Teleop3.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsMissed59%Hangar oddsEarned