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Red44
523213.0
83727.0
702130.0
Blue48
304215.3
47787.9
181612.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45350204060801004448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.3
25.425.7
Auto8.0
Teleop14.0
End8.1
red by 14.8
3042
#10
15.31.5
12.413.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End4.5
Second
5232
#21
13.00.3
11.612.0
Auto2.3
Teleop5.0
End5.8
red by 0.2
1816
#14
12.81.5
12.113.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End6.1
Third
8372
#49
7.00.3
3.94.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.9
End2.3
blue by 0.9
4778
#39
7.91.5
9.811.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsEarned