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Red85
459322.7
61479.9
591332.1
Blue43
179214.6
478618.8
37556.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483702060808543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.14.2
18.923.0
Auto11.6
Teleop14.3
End6.3
red by 13.3
4786
#11
18.80.8
14.915.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End10.8
Second
22.74.2
19.723.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End6.9
red by 8.1
1792
#28
14.60.8
16.717.5
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End4.7
Third
6147
#27
9.94.2
5.09.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End4.2
red by 3.7
3755
#40
6.30.8
4.25.0
Auto1.8
Teleop-1.1
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsEarned8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsEarned55%Hangar oddsEarned