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Red51
25128.5
310012.5
247018.3
Blue89
284722.5
422619.4
591332.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27680204060801001205189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.31.8
14.015.8
Auto5.7
Teleop0.9
End11.7
blue by 13.8
32.13.4
23.026.4
Auto11.6
Teleop14.3
End6.3
Second
3100
#24
12.51.8
7.99.7
Auto4.6
Teleop1.4
End6.5
blue by 10.0
22.53.4
19.122.5
Auto5.8
Teleop8.7
End8.0
Third
2512
#34
8.51.8
8.810.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.5
End3.3
blue by 10.9
4226
#19
19.43.4
16.419.8
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsEarned