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Red45
418214.8
93020.1
61479.9
Blue40
42399.5
329712.1
462311.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413920305060704540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#6
20.10.7
17.918.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.1
End6.4
red by 7.9
3297
#33
12.10.3
14.114.4
Auto2.4
Teleop3.8
End6.0
Second
4182
#22
14.80.7
11.212.0
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End5.0
red by 2.9
4623
#45
11.80.3
11.712.0
Auto4.1
Teleop3.9
End3.8
Third
6147
#27
9.90.7
9.29.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End4.2
red by 0.4
4239
#36
9.50.3
11.411.7
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsMissed