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Qual 472022 Northern Lights Regional
Red45
282320.8
181612.8
96710.6
Blue43
462411.5
32128.1
675817.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51402060804543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2823
#9
20.80.6
21.5→20.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End7.2
red by 3.7
6758
#15
17.10.5
17.2→17.7
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End11.3
Second
1816
#14
12.80.6
11.6→11.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End6.1
red by 1.3
4624
#46
11.50.5
10.5→11.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End2.5
Third
967
#29
10.60.6
13.0→12.4
Auto3.5
Teleop4.1
End2.9
red by 2.5
3212
#43
8.10.5
11.0→11.4
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsEarned