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Red50
179214.6
125917.2
388319.5
Blue20
28468.1
298715.6
21299.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52280204060805020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.0
14.214.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End9.9
red by 3.9
2987
#41
15.61.1
14.113.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End4.2
Second
1259
#23
17.20.0
14.514.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End6.5
red by 8.0
2129
#52
9.11.1
9.58.4
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End4.3
Third
1792
#28
14.60.0
17.217.2
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End4.7
red by 6.5
2846
#30
8.11.1
5.94.9
Auto2.2
Teleop2.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned7%Hangar oddsMissed