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Red49
302316.2
462411.5
28468.1
Blue41
41663.1
459322.7
329712.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32490204060804941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3023
#13
16.21.5
15.917.4
Auto4.5
Teleop3.7
End7.9
blue by 6.5
22.71.2
23.722.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End6.9
Second
4624
#46
11.51.5
11.012.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End2.5
blue by 0.6
3297
#33
12.11.2
14.413.2
Auto2.4
Teleop3.8
End6.0
Third
2846
#30
8.11.5
4.96.3
Auto2.2
Teleop2.7
End3.2
red by 5.0
4166
#51
3.11.2
5.64.4
Auto2.3
Teleop0.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsEarned50%Hangar oddsMissed