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Red59
247018.3
702130.0
418214.8
Blue76
125917.2
517236.1
604410.2
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615030407080901005976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.3
28.328.7
Auto8.0
Teleop14.0
End8.1
blue by 6.1
36.13.1
28.231.3
Auto7.8
Teleop21.3
End7.0
Second
18.30.3
15.816.1
Auto5.7
Teleop0.9
End11.7
red by 1.1
1259
#23
17.23.1
14.617.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End6.5
Third
4182
#22
14.80.3
12.012.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End5.0
red by 4.6
6044
#37
10.23.1
5.58.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsEarned