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Red51
753014.8
217712.9
47787.9
Blue28
96710.6
462311.8
21299.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36351020304050605128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7530
#16
14.81.5
13.114.5
Auto3.0
Teleop0.9
End10.9
red by 3.0
4623
#45
11.81.0
12.011.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.9
End3.8
Second
2177
#25
12.91.5
13.114.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End4.2
red by 2.3
967
#29
10.61.0
12.411.4
Auto3.5
Teleop4.1
End2.9
Third
4778
#39
7.91.5
7.69.0
Auto2.6
Teleop3.9
End1.5
blue by 1.2
2129
#52
9.11.0
8.47.4
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed