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Red48
466313.9
181612.8
284722.5
Blue36
304215.3
282320.8
42399.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4754203040607080904836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.1
22.121.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.7
End8.0
red by 1.7
20.81.5
23.421.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End7.2
Second
4663
#17
13.90.1
11.511.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.0
End9.2
blue by 1.3
3042
#10
15.31.5
15.814.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End4.5
Third
1816
#14
12.80.1
11.911.7
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End6.1
red by 3.3
4239
#36
9.51.5
10.89.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsEarned44%Hangar oddsMissed