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Red40
250217.0
422619.4
329712.1
Blue57
702130.0
392611.9
32989.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5449203040607080904057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4226
#19
19.41.5
22.320.8
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End4.5
blue by 10.6
30.01.1
28.729.7
Auto8.0
Teleop14.0
End8.1
Second
2502
#20
17.01.5
14.713.2
Auto6.4
Teleop6.5
End4.2
red by 5.1
3926
#31
11.91.1
10.211.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Third
3297
#33
12.11.4
13.111.8
Auto2.4
Teleop3.8
End6.0
red by 3.2
3298
#26
9.01.0
8.09.0
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed34%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsEarned42%Hangar oddsEarned