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Red41
93020.1
181612.8
523213.0
Blue58
247018.3
61479.9
250217.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493910203060704158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#6
20.10.4
19.719.3
Auto5.6
Teleop8.1
End6.4
red by 1.8
18.32.0
16.418.4
Auto5.7
Teleop0.9
End11.7
Second
5232
#21
13.00.4
13.513.1
Auto2.3
Teleop5.0
End5.8
blue by 4.0
2502
#20
17.02.0
13.215.2
Auto6.4
Teleop6.5
End4.2
Third
1816
#14
12.80.4
11.711.3
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End6.1
red by 2.9
6147
#27
9.92.0
8.09.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsMissed49%Hangar oddsEarned