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Red44
422619.4
21299.1
462411.5
Blue43
284722.5
478618.8
613210.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40581020305070804443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4226
#19
19.40.4
20.821.2
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End4.5
blue by 3.1
22.50.9
21.921.0
Auto5.8
Teleop8.7
End8.0
Second
4624
#46
11.50.4
11.211.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End2.5
blue by 7.3
4786
#11
18.80.8
19.218.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End10.8
Third
2129
#52
9.10.4
8.08.4
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End4.3
blue by 1.1
6132
#50
10.30.8
11.110.3
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed75%Hangar oddsEarned