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Red125
205231.8
173234.3
253118.2
Blue67
327620.6
313416.4
9316.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91512040608010012012567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.31.3
32.934.2
Auto11.2
Teleop14.6
End8.5
red by 13.7
3276
#16
20.60.2
20.420.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.4
End7.2
Second
31.81.3
30.531.8
Auto10.7
Teleop15.4
End5.7
red by 15.3
93
#18
16.50.2
16.316.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.6
Third
2531
#35
18.21.3
16.918.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End8.8
red by 1.9
3134
#12
16.40.2
16.216.4
Auto4.6
Teleop1.4
End10.3