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Red107
205231.8
173234.3
253118.2
Blue73
584722.9
569022.1
319717.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9463408010012014010773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.30.7
34.234.9
Auto11.2
Teleop14.6
End8.5
red by 11.4
5847
#11
22.90.2
23.223.4
Auto5.9
Teleop5.6
End11.3
Second
31.80.7
31.832.5
Auto10.7
Teleop15.4
End5.7
red by 9.7
22.10.2
22.522.6
Auto8.1
Teleop10.8
End3.3
Third
2531
#35
18.20.7
18.218.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End8.8
red by 0.9
3197
#25
17.30.2
17.717.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End6.0