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Red105
205231.8
173234.3
253118.2
Blue64
327620.6
313416.4
9316.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88512040608010012010564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.30.7
32.232.9
Auto11.2
Teleop14.6
End8.5
red by 13.7
3276
#16
20.60.1
20.320.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.4
End7.2
Second
31.80.7
29.830.5
Auto10.7
Teleop15.4
End5.7
red by 15.3
93
#18
16.50.1
16.216.3
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.6
Third
2531
#35
18.20.7
16.216.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End8.8
red by 1.9
3134
#12
16.40.1
16.116.2
Auto4.6
Teleop1.4
End10.3