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Red41
327514.3
9316.5
319717.3
Blue62
621711.3
167518.8
327620.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564930406070804162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#25
17.31.4
18.517.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End6.0
blue by 3.3
3276
#16
20.61.5
18.820.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.4
End7.2
Second
93
#18
16.51.4
17.716.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.6
blue by 2.3
1675
#15
18.81.6
17.919.5
Auto5.6
Teleop5.4
End7.9
Third
3275
#22
14.31.4
15.714.3
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End6.1
red by 3.0
6217
#52
11.31.5
9.811.3
Auto4.8
Teleop2.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsEarned