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Red75
534817.5
565321.0
546416.6
Blue58
374018.6
418114.2
222719.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56543040506070807558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.01.8
20.021.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End8.9
red by 1.6
2227
#29
19.40.7
18.719.4
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End6.4
Second
5348
#36
17.51.8
16.918.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End6.2
blue by 1.1
3740
#14
18.60.8
18.519.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End7.1
Third
5464
#21
16.61.8
15.617.4
Auto5.9
Teleop4.0
End6.7
red by 2.4
4181
#17
14.20.7
13.514.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsEarned77%Hangar oddsEarned