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Red69
582613.9
779714.5
173234.3
Blue64
253118.2
374018.6
706817.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423402060801006964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.33.4
17.921.3
Auto11.2
Teleop14.6
End8.5
red by 15.6
3740
#14
18.63.0
12.915.9
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End7.1
Second
7797
#30
14.53.4
10.113.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End5.2
blue by 3.8
2531
#35
18.23.0
9.412.4
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End8.8
Third
5826
#43
13.93.4
10.313.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End5.7
blue by 3.7
7068
#41
17.63.0
10.913.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned26%Hangar oddsEarned