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Red38
418114.2
305812.4
167518.8
Blue18
704814.1
451112.1
313416.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363202060803818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#15
18.80.4
11.110.7
Auto5.6
Teleop5.4
End7.9
red by 2.5
3134
#12
16.41.4
11.610.3
Auto4.6
Teleop1.4
End10.3
Second
4181
#17
14.20.4
11.911.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End7.8
red by 0.1
7048
#26
14.11.4
9.07.6
Auto3.2
Teleop2.5
End8.5
Third
3058
#39
12.40.4
10.610.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End3.9
red by 0.3
4511
#32
12.11.4
9.68.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsMissed