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Red35
88367.0
21759.2
460722.9
Blue22
297713.6
47418.7
9316.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423702060803522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.4
18.418.0
Auto6.9
Teleop6.8
End9.3
red by 6.4
93
#18
16.51.5
16.214.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.6
Second
2175
#53
9.20.4
11.911.4
Auto3.0
Teleop1.3
End4.9
blue by 4.4
2977
#31
13.61.5
7.96.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End5.3
Third
8836
#45
7.00.4
8.68.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End2.0
blue by 1.6
4741
#55
8.71.5
11.610.1
Auto1.6
Teleop3.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsMissed