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Red30
525312.4
327620.6
631810.1
Blue44
253118.2
534817.5
329417.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31460204060803044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
#16
20.60.1
13.313.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.4
End7.2
red by 2.3
2531
#35
18.20.3
13.213.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End8.8
Second
5253
#37
12.40.1
10.810.7
Auto4.6
Teleop1.5
End6.3
blue by 5.1
5348
#36
17.50.3
13.313.6
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End6.2
Third
6318
#57
10.10.1
6.96.8
Auto1.9
Teleop3.9
End4.3
blue by 6.9
3294
#10
17.00.3
14.715.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.4
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned52%Hangar oddsMissed