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Red77
310214.2
569022.1
565321.0
Blue59
614614.6
173234.3
305812.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42512060801007759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.13.6
18.922.5
Auto8.1
Teleop10.8
End3.3
blue by 12.1
34.31.4
24.125.4
Auto11.2
Teleop14.6
End8.5
Second
21.03.6
13.517.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End8.9
red by 6.4
6146
#46
14.61.4
12.113.5
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End6.6
Third
3102
#47
14.23.6
8.412.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End3.3
red by 1.9
3058
#39
12.41.4
10.611.9
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsEarned51%Hangar oddsEarned