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Red33
78933.2
418114.2
467413.0
Blue12
465613.2
297713.6
60475.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31330204060803312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4181
#17
14.20.5
11.611.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End7.8
red by 0.6
2977
#31
13.62.0
7.55.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End5.3
Second
4674
#24
13.00.5
11.611.1
Auto1.6
Teleop2.9
End8.4
blue by 0.3
4656
#40
13.22.0
13.411.4
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End7.6
Third
7893
#56
3.20.5
6.25.7
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.3
End1.1
blue by 2.3
6047
#58
5.52.0
9.67.5
Auto2.7
Teleop1.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsMissed