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Red84
250319.7
472820.4
319717.3
Blue67
582613.9
205231.8
42385.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504930406070808467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.43.7
15.919.7
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End5.8
blue by 11.4
31.81.8
22.524.4
Auto10.7
Teleop15.4
End5.7
Second
19.73.7
15.018.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End9.8
red by 5.8
5826
#43
13.91.8
14.616.4
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End5.7
Third
3197
#25
17.33.7
15.519.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End6.0
red by 12.4
4238
#54
5.01.8
9.511.3
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsEarned