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Red61
400922.8
374018.6
313416.4
Blue19
51256.7
47418.7
616015.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53320204060801006119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4009
#13
22.80.7
18.118.8
Auto7.2
Teleop10.0
End5.6
red by 7.6
6160
#19
15.22.0
13.911.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End7.0
Second
3740
#14
18.60.7
17.318.0
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End7.1
red by 10.0
4741
#55
8.72.0
11.59.5
Auto1.6
Teleop3.9
End3.3
Third
3134
#12
16.40.7
11.412.1
Auto4.6
Teleop1.4
End10.3
red by 9.7
5125
#34
6.72.0
7.65.6
Auto1.9
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsEarned51%Hangar oddsMissed