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Red41
584722.9
657411.7
614614.6
Blue73
319717.3
327620.6
400922.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51582040801004173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5847
#11
22.91.3
18.917.6
Auto5.9
Teleop5.6
End11.3
red by 0.1
4009
#13
22.82.2
19.721.9
Auto7.2
Teleop10.0
End5.6
Second
6146
#46
14.61.3
13.111.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End6.6
blue by 6.0
3276
#16
20.62.2
16.018.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.4
End7.2
Third
6574
#38
11.71.3
16.615.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.5
End3.5
blue by 5.6
3197
#25
17.32.2
17.820.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsMissed72%Hangar oddsEarned